Commercial Real Estate – Year Over Year Price Increase
For the first time since 2008, overall commercial real estate prices are on the increase. CoStar’s monthly National Composite Index of Commercial Real Estate increased 2.2% and that’s the first since the sharp downturn in 2008.
Leading the price recovery has been investment grade property – no surprise there as I’ve written about this for months. Also, the continued decline in distressed volume contributed to the 1.8% gain from the previous month.
The General Commercial Index rose 1.4% in October. That’s the sixth consecutive monthly increase, reversing a 32 month decline.
The investments grade index achieved a 3.4% increase in October versus the previous month. Growth has been strong since March 2011. Distress decreased from 53% to 28% in the same time frame.
Sales volume is still 31.1% below the August 2007 peak and the biggest reason is that we have so little inventory. So again, developers, if you have new triple net or absolute net single tenant retail coming out of the ground, I’d be real interested. In spite of being substantially below the all time peak, transaction volume is average for the period.
What we’re seeing is a broad based recovery. Barring something cataclysmic happening international, we’re on our way to good six or seven years before the next downturn. Absolutely, it will happen again.
CoStar News – Article – Commercial Real Estate Price Index Sees First Year Over Year Gain Since 2008