Financial Turbulence Threatens Commercial Real Estate Recovery

 In Commercial, investing

We had a decent head of steam from the fourth quarter of 2010 through second quarter of 2011, but a bunch of uncertainty is now in the air.  Let’s hope this doesn’t lead to another downturn after just two or three quarters of recovery.   Nothing postpones a commercial real estate decision like uncertainty.  Let’s see, in the last two months we’ve had the prospect of a national default, stock market turbulence, retail slowing, bond credit downgrade, slouching corporate profit growth, and declining bank lending.  It all feels like fourth quarter 2008 again. 

I hate writing posts like this, but the news is the news and I have to report the uncertain with the good.  

As we all know, to sustain the recovery that had just started a few quarters ago, we need employment growth and that has mostly stopped.  We’re still over a year away from a new president, but we hopefully we will have some growth between now and November 2012. 

At the link is CoStar’s Mark Heschmeyer, who I find to be one of the most accurate CRE analysts with his opinion of the current state of the commercial real estate market.

CoStar News – Financial Turbulence Rattles Sluggish Recovery

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